Our Land: New Mexico’s Environmental Past, Present and Future
Seeding New Mexico’s Skies
Season 5 Episode 34 | 13m 14sVideo has Closed Captions
As drought continues to grip NM, state officials evaluate cloud seeding applications.
As drought continues to grip NM, some communities are trying to modify the weather. NM officials have received two recent applications to attempt cloud seeding. Gary Walker with Seeding Operations & Atmospheric Research talks about his application before the state, and Hannah Riseley-White, deputy director of the New Mexico Interstate Stream Commission, discusses the state’s water challenges.
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Our Land: New Mexico’s Environmental Past, Present and Future is a local public television program presented by NMPBS
Our Land: New Mexico’s Environmental Past, Present and Future
Seeding New Mexico’s Skies
Season 5 Episode 34 | 13m 14sVideo has Closed Captions
As drought continues to grip NM, some communities are trying to modify the weather. NM officials have received two recent applications to attempt cloud seeding. Gary Walker with Seeding Operations & Atmospheric Research talks about his application before the state, and Hannah Riseley-White, deputy director of the New Mexico Interstate Stream Commission, discusses the state’s water challenges.
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Learn Moreabout PBS online sponsorshipLAURE: Gary Walker, thanks so much for joining me today to talk about weather modification.
GARY: You're very welcome.
LAURA: So, you're the co-owner of S.O.A.R., which stands for Seeding Operations and Atmospheric Research.
For those of us not familiar with the technology, can you kind of give us the big picture overview of what this sort of weather modification is?
GARY: Weather modification goes on in more than 40 countries in our world.
Water is an issue for all of us and the United Nations even predicts that by 2050 that most countries in our world will have water shortages.
Weather modification is a tool that's been in existence for well over 50 years.
I spent 30 years as the manager of a water conservation, two water conservation districts in Texas and the depletion of the Ogallala Aquifer was one of the main drivers behind my involvement with weather modification.
And so, in the agricultural areas of the panhandle of Texas, the South Plains of Texas, the eastern New Mexico portions there in your state, the groundwater depletions and declines are, have been a very big concern for producers.
Cities as well, for many, many years.
LAURA: So, you're working with meteorologists and watching forecasts.
And, you get those seedable clouds and what happens next?
What's the process?
GARY: In the summertime, we're looking for those cumulus type clouds that have liquid water in them.
And, the airplane will go into the, go into the air and go toward the cloud identified by that meteorologist, that will have suitable liquid water in it.
And, we will disperse an ice crystal-type nuclea in that cloud and that, that, that synthetic ice crystal then will be attracted to the water particles, those minute water particles.
And then, they become heavy enough to fall out as a raindrop.
Clouds are generally fairly inefficient and that's why cloud seeding does work.
There's a lot of, a lot of moisture in the atmosphere.
A cloud is not like a pitcher full of water and once it pours out, it's just empty.
The atmosphere, suitable clouds that are seeded at the proper time, research has shown that those, those clouds last longer and produce more rainfall, because that atmosphere continues to keep that, that, that cloud more or less in a constructive thing.
LAURA: I know, the state of Utah has been doing this for a while.
You mentioned California.
I'm curious, you've been doing this a while.
Is there more and more of a demand for these types of services, as more people are really seeing the effects of drought?
GARY: Absolutely.
You know, it, again, cloud seeding is not the silver bullet.
It's not gonna end all droughts, in all countries.
But, just like so many other things that we have, that, that enhance either our computers or enhance our gas mileage or whatever, we can enhance the rainfall and the value of what I call a return on investment many, many times, is minuscule, compared to what it costs to either build a pipeline or dig a new reservoir.
Those things take lots and lots of time and so, not to say that we shouldn't be concerned with conservation and reuse and even new supplies, such as they have available on the coastal areas of our country and other countries for desalinization.
LAURA: So, I imagine that you spend a lot of time talking with people who are pretty worried about the drought.
I'm curious if you could, you know, talk a little bit about what you've seen change over the decades, when it comes to drought and people trying different things or new things… GARY: Yeah, well my last 25 years as a water district manager was right up across the eastern side of New Mexico in ?
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county area, plains, Denver city area, our water declines in the aquifer there many years was as much as two to three feet a year.
So, a lot of those areas, Laura, they may only have 20-20 percent less than 30, 40 feet of saturated thickness left in the aquifer… pretty easy to, you know, to divide that by two and figure out about how many years that you have left to irrigate.
And so, we can extend the life of the aquifer a little by producing some additional rainfall, not to even talk about the savings and the pumping costs for agriculture.
And, of course, our ranching community, I mean, they're, they're tickled to death to have a, you know, have a half inch anytime.
But, it's certainly important for the, for the production of our irrigated acres.
LAURA: Well, Gary thanks so much for talking with me.
I really appreciate it and here's hoping we all get some good clouds this summer.
GARY: Yeah, yeah.
No kidding.
We hope so as well.
LAURA: Hannah Risley-White.
Thanks for joining me today to talk about weather modification.
HANNAH: Thanks, Laura.
It's a pleasure to be here.
LAURA: So, when we're talking about weather modification, what activities are we actually… like, what do those encompass?
HANNAH: Largely, that encompasses either ground-based or aerial based cloud seeding, usually, using silver iodide or calcium or potassium chloride.
And, the idea is to put tiny particles in the sky under exactly the right conditions to help induce droplets to form, to increase rainfall.
LAURA: So, this isn't something that's necessarily new in the state of New Mexico.
Procedures for the state to evaluate and potentially approve these projects are codified in the state's Water Quality Act, is that right?
HANNAH: So, yeah.
Actually, the Weather Control Act was passed in 1965 and we at New Mexico Interstate Stream Commission were only tasked with evaluating applications for licenses, for cloud seeding in 2003.
The legislature moved that responsibility from New Mexico Tech to us and so, just to be clear, we aren't necessarily proponents of it.
But, we are tasked by statute with evaluating applications for cloud seeding in New Mexico.
LAURA: So, one application for a proposed project in Northern New Mexico, was recently withdrawn.
Can you talk a little bit about what that project would have been and kind of what happened in the process?
HANNAH: Sure, so in October of last year, so 2021, we received an application for a license from a company called Western Weather Consultants, they would be the actual entity that would have conducted this particular project, that was ground-based cloud seedings.
This would have been a project to induce additional rainfall over the Sangre de Cristo mountains, through ground-based cloud seeding, using silver iodide.
They, however, were not this project sponsor.
That was Roosevelt Soil and Water Conservation District, which received in the 2021 legislative session funding for cloud seeding specifically.
But, we got a tremendous amount of interest in that application.
One of the requirements in our process in New Mexico is that any application for a license for cloud seeding has to be noticed publicly in newspapers.
We received over 250 protests associated with that particular application.
So, lots and lots of interest in it.
And, we're glad to see that people care and are concerned about water issues in New Mexico.
As you, I think know, we've also been working on the governor's 50-year water plan over the last year and so I'm hoping that some of the folks whose attention was caught by the cloud seeding efforts might get interested in that process, as well, given the sort of scarcities that we're facing.
LAURA: Do you anticipate or does the state anticipate getting more of these types of applications, is this something we're going to see more of, you think?
HANNAH: You know, what I would not be surprised, given that we're in the third year of a significant drought across the state.
And, as I mentioned earlier, doing this work on the 50-year water plan, you know, the anticipated increasing scarcity to our water supplies across the state is significant.
We're looking at a 25 reduction in water supplies by 2070.
So, I think people will, you know, continue to have quite a bit of interest in cloud seeding.
I should also mention that in receiving the application that we received last fall for the Sangres and in looking at this current application that, you know, we have some thoughts at the staff level, in terms of potential changes to the rule.
The weather enhancement rule, which is what governs how these applications are handled… we also heard pretty loud and clear from folks last fall that that they'd like to see some changes.
For example, protests have to be received in writing and within certain time period.
And so, I do think, and we flagged for our commission at our last Interstate Stream Commission meeting that they should anticipate some chain, potential changes to the rule coming this year.
That would make it, bring it into the 21st century a little bit, make it easier for folks who care and want to engage and also streamline the process for us.
LAURA: So, you mentioned some really stark numbers there and I'm curious, because you know, looking at the current application before the state, you know, they note that industry standards suggest that a 15 to 20 percent increase in rainfall is likely over a normal summer seating season of four to six months… like that seems like such a slim, you know, like a slim chance that we're taking.
But, is the water situation in New Mexico such that we're just trying to grab at any tool or possibility?
Like, how big of an impact could weather modification really have?
HANNAH: I mean, I think it can be successful, given certain, just the right circumstances.
So, from my understanding, even that 15 to 20 percent increases is, is, you know, in the under exactly the right conditions, right?
So, I think, you know, what's been interesting as part of this 50-year water planning effort, is there's a lot of folks who's look to solutions that involve increasing supply.
So, that could be cloud seeding or inter-basin transfers or all those types of things.
In my opinion, a lot of those are challenging and expensive and sometimes where you, you actually get the biggest bang for your buck is conservation, right?
So, how do we look at how we're using the water that we have now in our existing basins and use it more wisely and probably ultimately the solution will be some combination of all of those things.
Lots of tools in the, in the toolbox, but certainly more work needs to be done on a basin by basin, basis and with the water users and stakeholders in each of those basins, to think through what are the solutions that make sense in each of those regions, given the scarcity that we're facing and I don't think that cloud seeding is some silver bullet that will solve all of our problems, by any means, yeah.
But, it could be a part of, it could be a part of the solution, especially for communities that feel comfortable with it.
LAURA: Well, Hannah Risley-White.
Thank you so much for talking with me about this.
It's a really fascinating topic.
HANNAH: You're so welcome.
I'm happy and thanks for having me.
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Our Land: New Mexico’s Environmental Past, Present and Future is a local public television program presented by NMPBS